Sneak Peek – Computing by 2020


I would like to present you with a vision of how computing by 2020 cloud be, as Cloud Computing have affected and transformed the industry. Our possibilities and options have increased significantly, and new features of innovative software solutions are combining with existing software solutions, already established in the marketplace. So how would that impact the everyday information worker? Let’s look into a normal workday.

Some of the future highlights:

  • Sharing becomes fun and learning full
  • Dead of the multiple passwords, single sign-on for every application
  • IT no matter where you are, connected
  • Increased productivity and support

Your pocket has become bigger
And I am not talking about cutting down your cholesterol (you should anyhow). I am talking about your desktop is in your pocket. By 2020 your computing device has expanded into several devices – your mobile device, your tablet, your TV and your heavy workload pc (meaning a small pc). As information and applications need to span multiple devices, you will also see a dissolving of applications. Today we see the Microsoft Office Suite as a collection of applications, rich in features – running on our laptop or desktop computer. Very few of us are caring about Office Web or the fact that you do have an Office suite on your mobile device.

By 2020 the features and easy-of-use in applications are embedded into the same experience, but with fewer features support the platform and computing power. You will be able to present a PowerPoint presentation using your mobile device and Pocket PowerPoint; but not run advanced PowerPivot charts.  Applications will span in feature sets to support your presence and location – and devices will be segmented by the workload they will do. Why should a CEO have a laptop at all, if the mobile device can show files and meeting content by leveraging a projector?

Access  Anywhere
Internal IT will fall with their belief that security must be a Fort Knox – security is now an established standard integrated into storage, applications and devices – making VPN vendors parish, and making SSL vendors rich. Certificate authorization has become the new standard, and access to your internal and confidential information’s is as seamless as using Outlook Anywhere today. Your files are still a nightmare – not cause of the navigational feature of exploring files, but by 2020 your internal data storage has grown by 50x the size of it today. Searching for information is key to increased productivity. Access anywhere, also gives you the advantage of being online at any device, with the access you need. Seeing sales charts and corporate finance from your tablet will be straightforward – without any pain of connectivity.

Trust Everybody – it’s safe
Today we trust simple web stores with our credit card information, give away our login information to support desk operatives, just to get help. We have lowered our perception on trust, and as a matter of fact, we have invested more money in becoming more trustworthy and secure – but are less resent less to trust than ever. In 2020 trust will be safe, as we are not building barriers to security anymore – we are looking for enablers to use it. By 2020 we probably use our phone or digital identity to pay for groceries in the supermarket, getting our bill sent directly to our e-mail or Bill Storage service. We will experience paying to become transparent in the actions of doing payment – not the knowledge of the payment.

Presence & federation
Another key change will be your perception of logging onto the corporate network. As with the shift from Windows NT to Active Directory and from Active Directory to web based “create my credentials and sign in”; the authorization will have evolved by 2020. Presence and identity will be based on different role – giving you a work-related identity and a private identity to separate the barriers and the fact that you may change your job, not your life. Presence will be an important part, as traditional phone companies will start announcing low usage of traditional phone usage by 2017, and increasing video phoning by 2015-2019. Presence is not key to contact. Where you are, location based presence and role based presence will adopt to the device and local network.

We hardly connect presence and identity to our usage of social networks today, but the next generation of these services, will definitely start the separation of personal identities into two or more. We will start projecting our self-illustrative image in networks based on the usage of that identity. Very few senior business leaders today have a Facebook profile – but have a very full story on Linkedin. This is the distinction technology, presence and federation have to solve for identity to become transparent.

Burning off 8-15 hours in making digital signatures probably will be a bad memory, as your digital identity is a services, rather than six different applications to fill and a certificate to import – just to acknowledge that having more than one pc, causes you to spend 8-15 again, per device. Federation will attach itself to your identity and claims.

Federation will become a standard to inter-communication between your business partners, vendors – even your private collection of photos, music and video. The entertainment industry again has to adapt to a new way and form, as you can rent your neighbors videos and music with proper claims.

Meetings – 24×7
In-person social gatherings will probably become less and less in the business hours, as the 10-15 minutes spend before meeting chatting on the weather and driving pains, will be disappear as we wish to escalade meeting to the end. Online meetings or live meetings have an increased productivity on meeting by 35% and cutting average one-hour meetings to 40-45 minutes. As a result to this we will probably increase online messaging or phone calls for social contact, but meeting will become more “green” with online video conferences.

Enterprise Data Integration
You have to shed a tear, as CSV files probably will be dinosaur in the future. SOA oriented architecture will evolve the emerging WOA standard and soon you will expect everything to be connected and integrated. Making business intelligence is not about making it fit and connecting the sources, but very much about which information and how to present it. Accessing data from federated partners and sharing by-company invoices will be automated, cutting manually processing of invoices by 80%.

Everything in a browser?
So is the application platform dead and everything service through a browser? Definitely not! Applications will become connected through WOA and services, and some will be browser based, others will be browsers themselves, and smartclients will have a rebirth. But applications will change to adopt different form factors and device standard, and application will become less advanced and become more customer centric.  Credentials will be passed on, making single sign on an experience of sharing IT and knowledge, rather than opening browsers and adding credentials. The browser will be your information desktop, or portal to it. Applications will be the workload managers of you action – parallel computing will be served as a service for stressful data management processes, making the browser the input to the application. The application itself will be hosted somewhere in the cloud.

Imagine starting a workload of scanning billions of records and just closing down your pc, just to open your device and follow the progress while going to the car – just to get a notice within the car, when your workload job is complete.

The automation Era
Personal computers (PCs) have evolved from people giving the computer instructions waiting for it to complete into increasing different workloads – not being the PC to wait for us to complete the work. Today we actually wait for the computer again – future will go even further back, again for us giving the computer instructions, but leveraging the information as it grows.

Who will some of this be possible?
Cloud Computing is simply the answer. It is also the next biggest investment in IT every made. Changing standard, emerging technologies and changing habits are the biggest barriers to this vision to complete. A lot of the required software, services and applications are already underway. Security issues like WS*, federated identities and corporate governance – change of habits and transformation is underway. We outsource more often our IT to external vendors, as we constantly are hooping up to new services online.

Investments made to platform-as-a-service (PaaS), Infrastructure-As-a-Service (IAAS) and Webservices based computing is simply the glue and connectivity to established the information bus – so to speak – between peers, services and application.

Cloud Computing has conceptualized a lot of the required technology, giving students and innovators the standards to start building the next generation of online computing. I am only waiting with patience for the day, cloud or online as a term disappear from the taglines and marketing of IT technology. They are still an indicator or remnant – that this is something new and exciting.

At a point in a near future, online computing will just become computing – I can’t hardly wait – are you ready for this?

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